By Andrew Doherty
Week 13 kicks off with the Bills traveling to Foxboro to take on the Patriots in a divisional showdown. The Bills are currently 3.5-point favorites at most books after the line opened at 4.5 and the over/under sits at 43.5 points. I’ve gone through the entire slate and found the best plays for you. Here’s who I’m rolling with tonight:
Best Week 13 Thursday Night Football DFS Lineup Plays
Rhamondre Stevenson
He’s been the best player on the Patriots offense this season and despite playing 77.8% of snaps since Week 5, should see even more playing time this week with Damien Harris sidelined. Even with the Patriots inconsistencies along the offensive line this year, Stevenson has provided a high floor due to his extensive work in the passing game. His 50 receptions on the year rank 3rd amongst running backs and he’s been targeted on 27% of his routes, good for 4th highest in the league. Against a Buffalo front seven that’s more geared towards getting after the quarterback than stopping the run, Stevenson projects to have a massive workload regardless of game script.
Stefon Diggs
Diggs may seem like a chalky, obvious play but I actually think he’s slightly undervalued here. While the Patriots defense ranks 1st in EPA, when looking closer at the numbers it’s evident that their dominant performances against subpar QBs like Zach Wilson, Jacoby Brissett, and Sam Ehlinger have skewed the numbers in their favor. As we saw last week against the Vikings, the Patriots’ secondary was exposed a bit when they had no answer for Justin Jefferson. Not only does Diggs have at least 90 yards and/or a touchdown in 9 out of 11 games this year, but he’s also got a significantly better quarterback than Jefferson. He should be in every one of your lineups tonight.
Hunter Henry
With Jakobi Meyers, the top option in the passing game for the Patriots, banged up heading into tonight’s matchup it’s essentially a dart throw at which Patriots pass catcher to target in what projects to be a losing game script. Between Henry’s modest price and rapport with Mac Jones, he’s my preferred option tonight. After battling through injuries to start the season, Henry came alive last week with what should have been a pair of touchdowns but one was egregiously overturned. Despite being robbed of a second TD, Henry still posted a respectable 3/63/1 receiving line and ran a route on 32 of Mac Jones’ dropbacks.
