By Andrew Doherty
The Titans are heading to Green Bay to take on the Packers to kick off Week 11. Both teams are coming off of a win last Sunday after both losing in Week 9. With the over/under currently sitting at 41, this game has the potential to be a good one and also a close one with the Packers as 3.5 point favorites at home. There are plenty of good plays tonight, but as always I put in the work to find the very best of them. Here’s what I have for you tonight:
Derrick Henry
Tennessee’s offensive identity is no secret: pound the rock with King Henry and take the occasional deep shot off of play action to keep defenses somewhat honest against him. Not only do the Packers give up 122.8 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs, which is 3rd worst in the league, but they also allow the 3rd most carries of any defense in the league at 24.3 per game. In what projects to be a close game, there’s little worry that Henry’s touches will be game scripted away by the Titans trailing big. King Henry will be a popular play tonight for sure, but good luck winning the slate without him. He’s a must start in tonight’s matchup.
Aaron Rodgers
No, this isn’t a typo. I’m actually telling you to play Aaron Rodgers tonight. This isn’t an over reaction to last week, either. Despite some disappointing numbers this season, Rodgers has quietly thrown for multiple touchdowns in 70% of his games this year. Against a vulnerable Titans secondary that’s allowed 16 touchdown passes on the year so far, it’s a good bet that Rodgers will pass for multiple scores tonight. Rodgers and the Packers passing game looked to finally find its groove last week and now facing a defense that’s allowing 272.6 passing yards per game on a short week, this is the perfect scenario for Green Bay to build off last week’s momentum.
Treylon Burks
Don’t chase last weeks box score numbers with Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, chase usage and route participation. While Treylon Burks hasn’t wowed anybody with his box score numbers in the 5 games he’s been healthy this season, he quietly logged a 75% route participation rate in his return from IR last week along with an 18% target share. Translation: positive regression is on its way for Burks and he’s bound to find the endzone soon. The short week could be the catalyst to Burks’ breakout, which makes him a potentially high reward contrarian play at a low cost.
