There were some crazy outcomes last week, including late comebacks for the Miami Dolphins and New York Jets. It’s proof, if you ever needed it, that anything can happen in the NFL.
However, we’ve got the analysis to help us bet smart and win this Sunday. Here’s my three-play parlay for Week 3. Find out how you can turn your $10 into $68.
Justin Fields to throw under 182.5 yards (-115)
In his 14 games as the starter, Fields has only gone over this number five times. So far this season, he’s thrown for 121 yards against the San Francisco 49ers (in the rain), and 70 yards against the Green Bay Packers. No quarterback has thrown fewer passing yards for the Chicago Bears in the opening two weeks of a season in the past 40 years. No team has gained fewer offensive yards this season than Chicago (432). The Bears have given up the most yards on the ground over the first two games, while the Texans have given up the third-most rushing yards. Expect both teams to run the ball, making this play a lock.
Bills vs. Dolphins O/U 52.5 (-110)
The Bills have owned the Dolphins in this series, having won each of their last seven matchups. No team has scored more points thru two games this season than Buffalo (72). Only three teams have scored more points than the Dolphins (62) during that span. Miami’s 703 passing yards are currently the league-high. Josh Allen has thrown at least two touchdown passes in each of his eight career games against Miami. It’s the longest streak of multiple-TD-pass games versus one team in Bills history and the longest streak ever against the Dolphins. Tua Tagovailoa is on a hot streak, throwing four touchdown passes in the fourth quarter last week. It’s the first time since 2001 that a player has thrown four TDs in the final quarter. The Over in this game feels like the inevitable outcome.
Rams to score +26.5 points (-110)
Including the postseason, the Rams are 10-1 against the Cardinals since 2017, and have not lost in Arizona since 2014. The Rams have won their last seven in Arizona and scored at least 30 points in each of their last five visits. Matthew Stafford threw for 272 yards and three touchdowns in the Rams’ 31-27 win over the Falcons last week. This week he faces a Cardinals team that has given up the second-most air yards this season (302). Arizona’s defense has struggled thru their opening two games, and LA has too many weapons on offense. Back the Rams to top the points total.
