As the 2024-25 Premier League season progresses, the battle to avoid relegation intensifies. Based on data from the Opta Analyst., we assess the current standings and the probabilities of teams facing the drop. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the relegation-threatened teams and their league positions.
Current Premier League Standings (15th and Below)
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | GF | GA | GD | Points | Relegation Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Leicester City | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 | 54.6% |
| 16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 | 17.6% |
| 17 | Ipswich Town | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 | 67.1% |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 | 16.9% |
| 19 | Wolverhampton | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 | 43.4% |
| 20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 | 94.8% |
Southampton’s Struggles
Southampton finds itself in a precarious position, sitting four points adrift of safety. A recent defeat to fellow strugglers Wolves has exacerbated their situation. The Opta supercomputer now assigns them a 94.8% chance of relegation, a significant increase from the 66.7% probability at the season’s outset. Their lack of wins and poor defense are glaring issues.
Ipswich Town’s Battle
Despite being just outside the relegation zone, Ipswich Town faces a 67.1% chance of relegation. Their recent 2-1 victory over Tottenham Hotspur provided a much-needed boost, but consistency remains a concern. With a goal difference of -14, Ipswich must shore up their defense to secure survival.
Leicester City’s Challenges
Leicester City, another promoted team, has a 54.6% chance of relegation. After securing back-to-back victories in October, they have failed to win in their last three matches. Upcoming fixtures against top-tier teams such as Manchester City and Arsenal pose additional challenges.
Everton’s Tough Road Ahead
Everton has shown resilience after a poor start, losing just one of their last seven matches. However, a challenging December schedule, including matches against Liverpool, Arsenal, Chelsea, and Manchester City, contributes to their 17.6% relegation probability. Everton’s veteran leadership and new signings may play a pivotal role.
Wolverhampton Wanderers’ Outlook
Wolves secured their first win of the season against Southampton, yet they remain at a 43.4% risk of relegation. An upcoming series of less daunting fixtures offers an opportunity to improve their standing. However, scoring remains a key issue for the squad.
Crystal Palace’s Unexpected Position
Crystal Palace, under Oliver Glasner, has had a surprising downturn, earning just seven points from their first 11 games. The supercomputer now places their relegation chances at 16.9%, a stark contrast to pre-season expectations. Injuries to key players have added to their woes.
Conclusion
The relegation battle remains fluid, with upcoming fixtures playing a crucial role in determining the fate of these clubs. Teams must capitalize on favorable matchups and strive for consistency to secure their Premier League status.
Betting markets for relegation provide fascinating insights into the odds of survival. Will Southampton stage a miraculous turnaround, or are they destined for the drop?
